Crypto sentiment remains subdued, and trading volumes sit near cycle lows, yet a subtle shift is emerging that could set up a broader Bitcoin rebound. Markus Thielen’s latest Matrix report highlights Bitcoin’s five consecutive monthly declines, a historically rare streak that has preceded counter-trend rallies in past cycles
Many traders have shifted attention to clearer trends in gold and oil, where volatility has been stronger than in most altcoins. Retail participation stays muted, and few projects offer compelling new narratives, keeping speculative demand low. Still, early signs point to improving conditions beneath the surface.
📃#MatrixOnTarget Report – March 13 , 2026 ⬇️
The Setup for a Bitcoin Rebound Is Quietly Emerging
#Matrixport #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #MarketOutlook pic.twitter.com/9pewlkdrRm
— Matrixport Official (@Matrixport_EN) March 13, 2026
Five-month decline streak signals potential reversal
The chart tracks Bitcoin’s number of consecutive monthly declines against the monthly price change over multiple cycles. The current five-month losing streak stands out as uncommon and often marks exhaustion points that lead to sharp reversals. Thielen notes this pattern has historically set the stage for counter-trend moves, especially when combined with oversold conditions and fading downside momentum.
Altcoin weakness and liquidity signals turn positive
Altcoin market cap has fallen to zones where rebounds have emerged in prior cycles. A growing number of tokens are passing quantitative momentum screens and trading above their 30-day moving averages, while stablecoin inflows have returned, improving liquidity conditions. These developments suggest the probability of a wider crypto rebound is gradually rising, even if sentiment and volumes remain weak.
There is no single correct decision for investors holding Bitcoin during market downturns. Financial advisors say the choice depends on how Bitcoin fits into your broader financial plan and how much volatility you can tolerate.
While prices can fall sharply during sell-offs, industry executives and investors believe Bitcoin could still reach new highs by 2026, though significant price swings are expected. As a result, many investors focus on their long-term strategy and risk tolerance before deciding whether to hold or sell.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone has doubled down on his bearish outlook, warning that Bitcoin ($BTC) could plummet to $10,000 in 2026.
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