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Oil Hits $90 as Middle East Tensions Grow, Bitcoin and AI in Focus

Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel after fighting between the United States and Iran expanded to critical infrastructure, increasing concerns about energy supplies and shipping routes.

According to SoSoValue’s Macro Trading Desk, three additional US soldiers have been killed since hostilities resumed. The report said recent attacks reached power and desalination facilities in Iran and Kuwait, adding fresh pressure to global energy markets.

Washington is also sending additional refuelling aircraft to support Israeli operations, raising concerns that military activity could grow further. The report said markets are now pricing in a higher energy risk premium as traders monitor both military developments and any signs that diplomatic talks could resume.

AI investors wait for Google’s earnings

While geopolitical tensions dominated headlines, AI-related stocks remained focused on earnings.

SoSoValue said the recent pullback in AI shares has largely been driven by trading sentiment rather than weakening business fundamentals. Investors are now looking to Google’s earnings this week for fresh signals on cloud growth, AI investment, and capital spending.

The report also highlighted that Moonshot AI temporarily suspended new consumer registrations after demand for its Kimi K3 model exceeded available computing capacity. The incident reflects growing pressure on AI companies to secure enough computing power as competition intensifies.

Can Bitcoin stay resilient if oil remains elevated?

Bitcoin joins oil, gold, and technology stocks on SoSoValue’s list of key assets to watch this week. Rising geopolitical tensions often create conflicting reactions in crypto markets. Some investors rotate into Bitcoin as an alternative asset, while others reduce exposure to risk assets during periods of uncertainty.

The report also pointed to the Federal Reserve’s July 29 meeting, where policymakers are expected to keep interest rates unchanged. However, elevated oil prices could complicate the inflation outlook if energy costs remain high for an extended period.

That leaves investors tracking several developments at once, including the conflict in the Middle East, Google’s earnings, the Fed’s policy decision, and Bitcoin’s response to shifting macro conditions. 

Together, those events could shape sentiment across digital assets, equities, commodities, and global financial markets over the coming weeks. Meanwhile, Bitcoin fell below $63,000 on Friday as renewed military action in the Middle East and fresh political uncertainty in the United States drove investors away from risk assets.

 

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