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FOMO vs. FUD: Behavioural Patterns Driving Crypto Volatility

28 August 2025
in Explainers
Reading Time: 9 mins read
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Contents

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  • Understanding FOMO and FUD
    • The Psychology Behind Emotional Investing
    • Market Manipulation: Pump and Dump Schemes
    • The Role of Media Influence
    • Strategies to Mitigate Emotional Investing
    • In Closing…

Last updated on August 31st, 2025 at 02:53 pm

The cryptocurrency market is renowned for its rapid price swings and unpredictable nature. While technological advancements and macroeconomic factors, such as regulation, interest rates, and institutional adoption, undeniably shape its direction, there’s another, more subtle force at play: human psychology. There are many influential emotional drivers, some of which are FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt). These two forces act like opposing tides, pulling investors in and out of the market, often with little regard for logic or strategy.

Unlike traditional financial markets, crypto operates 24/7, creating a non-stop stream of headlines, tweets, rumours, and price action. This always-on environment tends to amplify emotional reactions and foster a kind of digital herd mentality. When Bitcoin or an altcoin starts to spike, thousands of retail traders flood in, not necessarily because of a well-researched decision, but because they fear being left behind. Conversely, when bad news surfaces, whether real or fabricated, panic can set in quickly, and this can drive steep sell-offs fueled more by anxiety than facts.

Understanding how and why FOMO and FUD work is no longer optional for anyone engaging in the crypto ecosystem. These behavioural patterns not only influence individual investor outcomes but also shape broader market trends, contributing to the dramatic volatility that characterizes the space. This article digs into the emotional core of crypto investing—how FOMO and FUD emerge, the consequences they bring, and how investors can recognize and resist their pull to make more rational, informed decisions.

Understanding FOMO and FUD

How Emotional Investing Works. 
How Emotional Investing Works.  Source: Google

FOMO arises when investors experience a powerful emotional trigger: the fear that others are profiting while they’re being left behind. This fear often overrides rational thinking, leading individuals to buy into assets at elevated prices without adequate research or consideration for market timing. 

In crypto, this behaviour can spread like wildfire, fueled by social media hype, influencer endorsements, or sensational headlines, and typically causing sudden and dramatic price spikes. From meme coins to newly launched tokens, FOMO has driven many unsuspecting traders to enter the market at its peak, only to see it reverse and leave them with substantial losses. This cycle of chasing “the next big thing” is a hallmark of emotional investing and a recurring cause of unsustainable bubbles in the crypto space.

On the flip side, FUD, which is short for Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt, is equally powerful but works in the opposite direction. FUD often emerges from negative news, rumours, regulatory concerns, or deliberately misleading information, all of which can spread panic through the community. The result is a cascade of rushed selling, not based on facts or fundamentals, but driven by anxiety and herd behaviour. This can push prices down sharply, even for solid projects, thereby erasing value in minutes and creating opportunities for manipulation by large players who buy back in at discounted prices.

Together, FOMO and FUD create a volatile push-and-pull dynamic that defines much of crypto’s market behaviour. Also helping to represent emotional extremes, greed and fear, that cause investors to act irrationally, often against their own best interests. Recognizing these forces for what they are is the first step in developing a more disciplined, psychologically resilient approach to investing in the crypto space.

RELATED: How to Effectively Beat the FUD Factor in Crypto Markets 

The Psychology Behind Emotional Investing

Emotional investing refers to making financial decisions based on feelings rather than objective analysis. In the crypto market, this is exacerbated by:

  • Social Proof: Seeing others profit can create a bandwagon effect.
  • Information Overload: The vast amount of news and opinions can overwhelm investors, leading to reliance on emotions.
  • Volatility: Rapid price changes can trigger fear or greed, influencing decisions.​

A survey by Kraken revealed that 63% of U.S. crypto holders believe emotional decisions have negatively impacted their portfolios, with 81% admitting to making investment choices based on FUD.

Market Manipulation: Pump and Dump Schemes

Image illustrating pump and dump. 
Image illustrating pump and dump.  Source: Google

One of the most troubling forms of market manipulation that fuels both FOMO and FUD in the cryptocurrency space is the infamous pump and dump scheme. These schemes are designed to exploit investor behaviour, particularly the psychological forces of FOMO and emotional investing. The basic premise is simple but devastatingly effective: orchestrators artificially inflate the value of a low-market-cap coin—often by spreading misleading or exaggerated information —and then quickly sell off their holdings after the price surges, leaving unsuspecting investors with heavy losses.

What makes these schemes so dangerous is how they hijack crypto psychology. When a token suddenly starts to spike in price, particularly one that most people haven’t heard of before, it creates a powerful sense of FOMO. This emotion kicks in when investors see green candles, tweets, or chatroom hype about “the next 100x opportunity.” Without proper research, many jump in hastily, driven by the belief that they’re catching a rocket just before liftoff.

This irrational emotional investing is often fueled by media influence, especially in fast-moving social platforms like Telegram, Discord, Twitter (X), and Reddit. Coordinated groups often plant messages or memes that suggest insider tips or secret opportunities, increasing the illusion of credibility. In reality, the only people profiting are those who got in early, which usually are the manipulators themselves, who dump their holdings once they’ve driven prices high enough.

Simultaneously, any negative news or doubt about the asset can trigger FUD, resulting in a mass exodus. Those who bought at the top, hoping for quick profits, panic-sell at a loss. The token then crashes to a fraction of its inflated price, and the manipulators move on to the next target. This vicious cycle not only drains investor capital but also erodes trust in the broader crypto ecosystem.

A 2021 study by the University of Technology Sydney analyzed over 300 pump-and-dump events and found that Telegram and Discord were the most common platforms for organizing such schemes. Many of the promoted coins had no utility, no development team, and no roadmap, just a clever narrative designed to manipulate investor sentiment.

These events highlight the importance of due diligence and critical thinking in a market driven not just by technology, but by human psychology. While the decentralized nature of crypto is part of its appeal, it also means that regulatory oversight is minimal, creating fertile ground for manipulation and deception.

The Role of Media Influence

As fast-paced as the world of cryptocurrency can be, media influence can act as both a spotlight and a matchstick, illuminating opportunities or igniting panic. Whether it’s a breaking news story, a viral tweet, or a trending YouTube video, the media plays a pivotal role in shaping investor sentiment, often triggering waves of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) within minutes.

When a prominent figure like Elon Musk tweets about Bitcoin or Dogecoin, or when a headline claims that a government is adopting—or banning—crypto, the market often responds with immediate emotional swings. Crypto psychology is particularly susceptible to media narratives because the space is still relatively new, volatile, and dominated by retail investors, many of whom are still learning how markets function.

Positive news stories—such as exchange listings, corporate partnerships, or celebrity endorsements—can spark buying frenzies. Investors rush in, fearful of missing the next big pump, often with little understanding of the asset’s fundamentals. This is classic FOMO-driven behaviour, where decisions are based more on hype than logic.

Conversely, even rumours of regulation, hacks, or economic downturns can trigger FUD, causing panic selling and massive price drops, even if the information is unverified or taken out of context. This type of emotional investing, making decisions based on fear instead of fact, can be devastating, especially in the highly volatile crypto markets.

A 2021 research paper from The Journal of Behavioural Finance found that social media-driven hype can significantly influence short-term crypto prices, more so than traditional financial news. The study concluded that collective investor behaviour, especially when amplified by platforms like Twitter, Reddit, and YouTube, often causes irrational price swings. In fact, some tokens have seen double-digit gains—or losses—within hours of trending online, regardless of any real-world development.

Influencers, bloggers, and anonymous Twitter personalities sometimes wield as much power as seasoned analysts or official news outlets. And while some of this attention is well-meaning or educational, others deliberately manufacture hype to support pump and dump schemes, leveraging market manipulation to their advantage.

The media’s outsized role in crypto underscores the need for critical thinking and self-awareness. Investors must ask: Am I reacting to news, or being emotionally manipulated by it? Because in crypto, the difference between a moonshot and a meltdown often comes down to timing, emotion, and how well we interpret the noise around us.

Strategies to Mitigate Emotional Investing

To navigate the crypto market effectively, investors should consider:

  • Conducting Thorough Research: Base decisions on comprehensive analysis rather than hearsay.
  • Setting Clear Investment Goals: Define objectives and stick to them to avoid impulsive decisions.
  • Diversifying Portfolios: Spread investments to mitigate risk.
  • Staying Informed: Keep abreast of market trends and news from reliable sources.
  • Practicing Patience: Avoid making decisions based on short-term market movements.

In Closing…

Emotions like FOMO and FUD significantly influence the cryptocurrency market’s volatility. FOMO drives impulsive buying decisions, leading to inflated prices, while FUD causes panic selling, pushing prices down regardless of the underlying fundamentals. Both behaviours can create market swings that are often disconnected from the true value of the asset. By understanding these behavioural patterns and implementing strategies to mitigate their impact, such as diversifying portfolios, setting stop-loss orders, and staying informed through reliable sources, investors can make more informed decisions. Developing emotional discipline and maintaining a long-term perspective in the face of short-term market fluctuations can help investors navigate the crypto landscape with greater confidence and avoid making impulsive decisions.

 

Disclaimer: This article is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein should be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading or investing in cryptocurrencies carries a considerable risk of financial loss. Always conduct due diligence. 

 

If you want to read more market analyses like this one, visit DeFi Planet and follow us on Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, and CoinMarketCap Community.

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